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abercrombie milano Crisis After Why International
PostPosted: Tue 22:00, 22 Oct 2013
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Gold is usually tool for investors to hedge as a hedge, under normal circumstances, when the financial crisis, international gold prices will [url=http://www.mxitcms.com/abercrombie/]abercrombie milano[/url] rise sharply; crisis, when the economy resumes growth, the international gold price increases will slow down. However, the global financial crisis has changed to some extent, the history of the international gold price changes, track, September 2008, when the global financial crisis and the world economy into a severe recession, the international gold price downward trend, the end of 2008 , the lowest international price of gold fell to 600 dollars / ounce; second half of 2009, when most countries have been out of recession, growth in world economic recovery, the international gold prices have seen a dramatic rise in a row within a year surpassed 1,000 U.S. dollars / ounce , 1100 U.S. dollars / ounce, $ 1,200 / oz and $ 1,300 / oz mark the four integers, and create the history of the international gold price record. This paper on the recent rise in international gold prices cause analysis.

After the crisis, the process of economic recovery in the world, why international gold prices will rise sharply it? From the current situation, mainly in the following four reasons: First, [url=http://www.ktbruce.co.uk/mulberrysale.php]mulberry outlet[/url] the pressure [url=http://www.rtnagel.com/airjordan.php]jordan pas cher[/url] on the dollar; the second is the threat of inflation; third is the uncertainty of the recovery process; Fourth, the international gold market supply and demand changes.

Pressure on the dollar. In the international gold market, gold trading is denominated in dollars, the expected depreciation of the dollar and the dollar are likely to push gold prices. In other words, the international market gold transactions in dollars, [url=http://www.osterblade.com]moncler outlet[/url] the dollar will become relatively cheap gold to attract investors to buy a lot. Since 2003, due to the huge U.S. current account deficit, the dollar showed continued weakness in the basic situation, and this corresponds to the international gold market fundamentals show a continued rise in the stock market.

The threat of inflation. In response to this round of economic crisis, governments have implemented a program of unprecedented economic stimulus, through a variety of ways to inject liquidity into the market. Central banks have to implement expansionary monetary policy, sharply lower interest rates, from 2009 onwards, major economies have been the benchmark interest rate at or just above zero, the formation of the actual meaning of the zero interest rate. Expansionary fiscal policy and monetary policy to stimulate the national economy recovered quickly, but also lead [url=http://www.ktbruce.co.uk/hollisteroutlet.php]hollister[/url] to inflation concerns the entire world. From the current situation, both developed and developing countries are facing varying degrees of threat of inflation. According to the International Monetary Fund s latest forecast, the 2010 U.S. consumer price index was 2.1 , UK 2.7 , were beyond its 2 target range; Australia s consumer price index [url=http://www.gotprintsigns.com/abercrombiepascher/‎]abercrombie pas cher[/url] was 2.4 , 5.1 [url=http://www.thehygienerevolution.com/hollister.php]hollister france[/url] in [url=http://www.fibmilano.it]woolrich[/url] Brazil, Russia 7 , India 13.2 .

The uncertainty of the recovery process. Crisis, the international gold market also stems from the higher prices on concerns about prospects for world economic recovery. U.S. economy still faces high unemployment rate of over 9 , bank credit activities are still weak, and, since the second half of 2010, due to the appreciation of U.S. dollar affected the exports, to further expand its current account deficit. Eurozone economic recovery is weak, the International Monetary Fund predicted that the euro zone economic growth rate in 2010 was only 1.7 , while Europe faces up to 10 of the unemployment and the deteriorating fiscal deficit. Britain is also facing [url=http://www.teatrodeoro.com/hollisterde.php]hollister deutschland[/url] greater financial pressure, the current budget deficit of up to 152.8 billion pounds UK, equivalent to 10.9 of GDP, the highest since World War II record. Japan s economy suffered deflation again, the International Monetary Fund predicted Japan in 2010 was 1.4 Consumer Price Index.

Since the second half of this year, the uncertainty of world economic recovery and further increase, mainly as a currency war and trade war renewed the smoke. Japan, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, Korea, Brazil and Colombia and other countries have on the foreign exchange market intervention, suppression of the currency appreciation, this trend has been closely watched around the world, the fear, the government intervention in the foreign exchange market currency may lead to war and global trade war.

Changes in market supply and demand of gold. Supply and demand changes in the gold market price of gold rose sharply to [url=http://www.par5club.com/louboutin.php]louboutin pas cher[/url] promote the underlying causes. In recent years, as the supply side of gold mining gold, central bank gold sales Waldo regeneration showed a downward trend, while a variety of world gold demand is rising rapidly. South Africa is the world s largest gold producer, South Africa has long been the steady decline in the supply of gold has now fallen to its lowest level in 25 years. India is the world s largest consumer of gold in recent years as rapid economic growth in India, the Indian domestic market to further expand the demand for gold.

So, the future international [url=http://www.ktbruce.co.uk/mulberrysale.php]mulberry sale[/url] price of gold going? Overall, the short term, upward trend in the international gold price is unlikely to change. Goldman Sachs [url=http://www.giuseppezanottipaschere.com]giuseppe zanotti soldes[/url] recently to the next 3 months, 6 months and 12 months gold price raised to $ 1,400, respectively, the expected / ounce, $ 1,525 / oz and $ 1,650 / ounce.

However, some economists believe that the international gold market is a bubble market, increase the risk of investing in gold. Soros also noted that recently, investing in gold is not absolutely safe, the price of gold rally will not last forever, because gold is a hedge against inflation, after all goods, not the best investment products and other commodities like gold are as rigid requirements.
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